12 Comments
Nov 13, 2022Liked by Market Sentiment

What was he doing in Politics asking for regulations while he was risking customers money?! At this point it may have not been illegal, but it was definately unethical. An exchange should not have the ability to risk the customers investments in coin, and without their knowledge.

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Nov 13, 2022Liked by Market Sentiment

Keep in mind that the Fed doesn’t print money. Banks do by creating loans. They give cash to the lender for a collateralized loan. The borrower takes the money and pays it for, say, a house. The builder deposits that money and the cycle starts as above. It all starts with the bank.

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Nov 13, 2022Liked by Market Sentiment

This is the best explanation of the events that led to the dminse of FTX I have read (written in plane English). Three questions..

1. are there other platforms with similiar narcistic egos directly other peoples monies in crypto. the answer at this time seems almost certainly Yes.

2. what will be the fallout from FTX bankruptcy? Can it and will it lead to the demise of the digital assets ecosystem?.

3. does blackchain technology still have value and can it be saved. If so, why did these firms all fall 25% plus last week.

For now - the asset class seems like a bucket of smoke, that lacks any and all form of regulations.

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author
Nov 14, 2022·edited Nov 14, 2022Author

Thanks.

1. This is definitely worth exploring. I want to look in to the balance sheet of other exchanges to see how many of them are propped up by their own coins

2. 100% - Binance CEO has just come out with a plan to stop a contagion by bailing out "good" businesses associated with FTX

3. Anyone's guess - Even after the 2000 dot com crash, the companies that had good fundamentals and actual utility survived.

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Nov 13, 2022Liked by Market Sentiment

Using the Kelly criterion in trading systems is extremely bad IMHO, because the returns aren’t known. And using a Kelly multiple >1 is just ridiculous.

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author

Yeah. Even though Kelly fraction is supposed to be the optimal bet, in most practical systems "fractional kelly" is recommended where investors allocate a multiple of Kelly much lesser than 1. Kelly multiple > 1 is a bad idea.

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“built by traders, for traders”

Wasn't that Enron's motto?

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author
Nov 14, 2022·edited Nov 14, 2022Author

Good catch - Changed it.

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Nov 13, 2022·edited Nov 13, 2022

Mt. Gox, Bitconnect, QuadrigaCx, Luna, Three Arrows, Blockfi, FTX........... Until there would be a perfect decentralized and trustless Exchange, Regulation has to come in and fix things up. Otherwise these events will continue to happen. On SBF he is delusional and a thief IMHO. "Pretending to use customers funds to save the world!", yeah right.

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I dont get it, the money transfered to Alameda should be still there shouldnt it? Or did Alameda gambled it all away?

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author
Nov 13, 2022·edited Nov 13, 2022Author

No. We don't know the extent of losses suffered by Alameda. But the FTT coin which was once worth $8B is now ~$200M - So that's a $7B loss. They used FTT as collateral against customers funds.

So now, they wont be able to pay back the customers.

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I still don't quite understand. Did Binance pull out because of FTX wrongfully lending money to Alameda against FTT, or because Alameda actually made heavy loss? I mean, FTT as collateral isn't relevant as long as Alameda could somehow liquidate their investments, or am I mistaken?

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