Market Sentiment

Market Sentiment

MS Portfolio Update | April 2026

Hedging the crisis

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Market Sentiment
Apr 02, 2026
∙ Paid

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Q1 2026 has not been kind to equities. Amid geopolitical uncertainties and rising oil prices, the S&P 500 is down ~4% YTD, and the Nasdaq is down 5%. We had briefly entered a correction territory for QQQ before the bounce back in the last two days.

YTD Performance Dow, S&P 500, Nasdaq

Our bottleneck thesis continues to shine, as even with the drawdown, all three of our baskets have outperformed the market.


1. Advanced Packaging +4.5% vs -6.7% QQQ

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2. Optics +0.7% vs -6.6% QQQ

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3. Energy +1.5% vs 0.6% SPY

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MS Portfolio Holdings Update

March was tough for the portfolio compared to Feb as geopolitical crisis muted AI investments and Google launched its TurboQuant AI-compression algorithm, which is expected to reduce the LLM memory usage — a headwind for our memory thesis. Even with these headwinds, our portfolio is in the green for the year while QQQ is down 5%.

MS Portfolio Performance | As of April 1st 2026

With Oil price rising a whopping 78% this year and the crisis far from over, here’s how we are positioning our portfolio:

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